Public Policy Polling (2/6-8, registered voters):
Paul Hodes (D): 40
Charlie Bass (R): 37Paul Hodes (D): 46
John Sununu (R): 44Carol Shea-Porter (D): 42
Charlie Bass (R): 43Carol Shea-Porter (D): 45
John Sununu (R): 46
(MoE: ±2.7%)
While all the matchups tested here by our friends at PPP are well within the margin of error, Hodes starts off the 2010 Senate race in the best shape — indeed, he even has more room to grow than Shea-Porter does. A full 24% of voters have no opinion of Hodes, while only 17% of voters don’t know enough about CSP to give an opinion.
Sununu has near-universal name recognition, which is hardly a surprise given his recent humiliating defeat at the polls, but that suggests that his numbers here may be something of a high water mark. Bass, on the other hand, has the least name recognition of the bunch, and those who do know him don’t seem to care for him all that much — his favorability score clocks in at 33-37. I’d be pretty surprised if the Bassmaster threw his hat into the ring.
bradley? wouldn’t it be hilarious if he lost to CSP on a statewide level? 😛 aside from that, is there anyone else we’d have to worry about?
He is the epitome of why the GOP rule in NH is over. He is an embarrassment to everything libertarian and was probably the ugliest man in Congress save for Phil English.
NHGOP Chair Papa Sununu forces Junior to try once more for Senate.
The BassMaster takes a shot at his granddaddy’s legacy – the Governor’s office.
and Sununu runs and gets crushed by Hodes. That would be hilarious.
was willing to take a position in an opposition party’s cabinet and basically open his senate up to Democrats after two years makes me think he wasn’t intending on running for reelection in 2010 anyway.
Is it absolutely certain that Bonnie Newman’s only going to be a placeholder and nothing more (akin to Kaufman)? Otherwise it’s not impossible given her lack of well-defined positions right now to vote smart and liberal enough to stake a place as a viable Republican alternative to Hodes/CSP; she’s certainly not too old to do the job for a full term or two.
1. She clearly said she wouldn’t run less than 2 years before the election (the term limits promises are usually made at least 6 years before the election).
2. If she votes moderately or liberally she won’t win a GOP primary.
3. She needs to start raising bushels of money immediately. And she won’t raise a penny until she decides to run.
I like the polls right now. Does Sununu have any money left from his last race?